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On January 21, 2019, an anonymous user made a series of future Bitcoin price predictions.

The user successfully called the December 2018 bottom. Also, the succeeding two predictions, which stated that the price will be $5300 and $9200 in April and July, respectively, were validated.

The third one, however, stated that the price will reach $16,000 in October. Since today is October 31, it is an interesting time to see if it is possible for this prediction to be validated.

Cryptocurrency trader @thecryptodog stated that a massive flow of cash will enter Bitcoin today, validating the prediction.

While the tweet seems sarcastic in nature, let’s see if there is any chance, however slight, that it will be validated.

Bitcoin’s Rate of Increase

In order for the prediction to be validated, an increase of roughly 78 percent would be required.

During the past two years, the three dates with the highest daily rate of increase have been:

  • July 20, 2017: 30 percent
  • December 7. 2017: 25 percent
  • April 2, 2019: 21 percent

2017 bitcoin rate of increase

2017 bitcoin rate of increase

Even going further back, when the volume was significantly lower than what it is today and allowed for more volatile price movement, the highest daily rates of increase have been

  • November 18, 2013: 55 percent
  • December 18, 2013: 37 percent

 

While the 55 percent rate of increase in November 2017 comes close, all the other highest rates have been less than half of what is required to reach $16,000.

Don’t Hold Your Breath

Considering that there are significant resistance areas above, and the movements are less volatile now than in 2013, it is probably safe to say that the prediction will be invalidated by tomorrow.


Disclaimer: This article is not trading advice and should not be construed as such. Always consult a trained financial professional before investing in cryptocurrencies, as the market is particularly volatile.

Images courtesy of Twitter, TradingView.


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